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social science subjects > psychology > social psychology > judgment and decision making > hindsight bias

Preferred term

hindsight bias  

Definition

  • The inclination to see events that have already occurred as more predictable than they were before they occurred. The phenomenon has been demonstrated experimentally, in that subjects tend to remember their predictions of future events as having been stronger than they actually were, but only in those cases where those predictions turn out correct. [Source: The SAGE Glossary of the Social and Behavioral Sciences; Hindsight Bias]

Broader concept

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URI

https://concepts.sagepub.com/social-science/concept/hindsight_bias

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